Esteemed Co-Conspirator Linda Fox thinks it’s a real possibility. So does Robert Lopez at American Greatness. And in all candor, I once thought it might come to pass. In brief, it seemed to me to be the solution to America’s political, economic, cultural, and sectarian tensions that was most likely to work long-term.
But I don’t think so any longer. A commenter to the Lopez essay delineates some of the reasons:
The only flaw I can see to the "separate ways" argument is a fatal one.No matter what you do, no matter what you try, do you really think these people will leave you alone?
A major part of the draw of American leftism is the false sense of moral and intellectual superiority it confers to its devotees. But what good is that if you don't have a captive audience of people into whose faces you can rub your superiority? If you can't reach them, then how can you lord over them? Tell them how to live? What to eat? When they can leave their homes? Whether they're permitted to worship? How can you censor them, take away their right to self defense, and punish them?
How can you keep humiliating them and mocking them with sham elections that serve to reinforce their helplessness before your power?
We lost the culture wars because every time we gave in to what the leftists demanded and asked, "Now will you leave us alone?" they attacked another institution.
They will never leave you alone.
So you might as well fight them where you are. This is our country. Our Constitution, our Republic. Not theirs. Why cede it to them? Fight.
He’s right about the political / psychological dynamic. The Left’s quasi-religious belief in its right to rule, owing to its presumption of moral and intellectual superiority to the rest of us, would demand that it force us to bow before it once again. Apart from that, power-seekers always seek more power, which would militate against secession a priori and would fuel a lust for infiltration and reconquest a posteriori. That lust would be encouraged and aided by any “blue remnant” populations that choose to remain in the “red” nation.
At least as compelling is the dynamic that arises from the multiply interconnected continental economy. A secession that would create two political entities side by side, would also guarantee that one would be more prosperous than the other. The emotional response of the less successful polity would be a degree of envy and resentment that would guarantee conflict. As the Left has been fostering envy and resentment for many decades, a clash would inevitably follow. Irresistible pressure against the more successful nation-state’s borders would be the least of the consequences.
Finally, there’s the military aspect of things. “Red America” is where most of the nation’s military assets reside, including the majority of its strategic weapons. “Blue America would never let those go without a fight...possibly a fight that would involve the use of those strategic weapons. I don’t think I need to sketch out how terrible that would be.
Mike Hendrix puts it well:
FederalGovCo will never, ever, EVER peaceably agree to cede its power over half the country by partitioning it off and just letting all that territory, all that infrastructure, all those military installations, and all those taxpayer dollars stroll away unmolested. In fact, now that we’ve taken the final steps towards Commie dictatorship with the recent fraudulent “election,” I’d say the bloated, illegitimate central government’s iron grip is far likelier to tighten than to relax.
So I don’t see secession as a plausible course for the future.
There have been secessions and partitions that have endured. However, in the usual case the partition of an existing nation into two or more parts has been imposed upon it by outside forces that could not be gainsaid. The United States has taken part in the engineering of such partitions. What power could impose its will on the U.S.? A state whose internal affairs are as disordered as is the norm today would never even conceive of the notion. As for a coalition of similarly minded nations, such alliances don’t come together for such a purpose. (The nations that united to fight in the World Wars of last century did so to protect and advance their several, respective economic and territorial interests, nothing more. America wouldn’t have gone to war in Europe were it not for the prospect of reduced access to Europe’s markets.)
So even were there a sincere and potent secessionist movement abroad in the U.S., it would be unlikely to achieve its objective. Should it manage to do so, it would be even less likely to stand apart for long. While there have been mutterings about it in a few state legislatures, Texas most prominent among them, it looks highly improbable in the foreseeable future.
We’re going to need to learn to get along.
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